Is Iran Prepared To Bomb Pakistan?

The Source for the picture above: Pakistani Army Welcomes Irans Mediatory Role – UrduPoint

I know the situation between India and Pakistan is very tense so let’s take a deep breath first if you are from either country.

This question is asking whether Iran is really prepared to bomb Pakistan based on the assumption that Iran has woke up one morning and said why aren’t we bombing our neighbouring country Pakistan with whom we indeed have a strategic relationship?! The last thing Iran would ever wanna do is bombing Pakistan out of imperial aggressiveness as we had no strategic disputes.

(The source for the picture above: Pakistan FURY: India warned of huge response if war is imposed – Iran is our ‘brother’)

Since I could remember, we heard of our border guards getting killed or brutally beheaded by the terrorist organisation operating in both Afghanistan and Pakistan, but more recently, it is entirely from Pakistan.

You see, when you’re in the governmental position especially, the intelligence minister and Armed Forces, one in many roles that you have are to respond to how the public is reacting particularly in the case of incidents. A few weeks back, when a suicide bomber targeted border units of Islamic Republic Guard Corps (IRGC) and murdered and injured dozens, Iranian people got generally emotional but communities that have some link to the military, security and intelligence agencies, which are actually the second or third largest community in Iran got furious ( ready to act). The state has to respond according to how society is feeling in order to maintain its sense of authority and legitimacy (especially when emotion is at an extreme level).

The highest ranking commanders of Iranian armed forces said if Pakistan is not going to secure that region that we know to accommodate terrorist camps then we are going to make the necessary measures on our own.

The source for the picture above: Tehran’s warning against spirit of Pak-Iran brotherly relations, FO tells envoy

Imagine, every month or 2, militants operating within the Iranian border were conducting ambush attacks operations on Pakistani border region with Iran, so, you are losing your troops in large numbers but are unable to respond because terrorists run back to Iran as soon as they conducted their attack. You ask Iranian government and they say sorry Pakistan, we don’t have 100% control over some areas in Iran but we will do our best! Often if there is an attack from one to its neighbour, the other side, considered that country responsible. You see, if there were 1 or 2 attacks then we could be more flexible but when there is a consistent pattern of attacks then something has to be done. If Pakistan is unable to do what’s necessary, then why not let Iran does it? You cannot say “Neither You nor I, are going to do something about it, because that’s B.S.

The Source for the picture above: Iran Says Welcomes Pakistan’s Bid to Fence Shared Border

Pakistani government knows what where Iranian commander is coming from by making those statements; they probably, have discussed these several months back when many official meetings took place between Iran and Pakistan. 


Written by By Iman Mohammadi On 4 March 2019

Copyright ©Imanpoli (ImanMætm) 2019. All rights reserved.

Zarif Resignation: Review

The source of most of the committed crimes, especially the most outrageous ones, is not created in one night or in the moment as many people think to be the case, but in fact, the actual cause is due to an immense amount of mental torture and unexpressed emotions/feelings that have been packing together for relatively a long-time (depending on every individual).

Zarif did not resign out of sudden, indeed, it is known to the public that he had to ask for resignation at least a couple of times before but Zarif did not publicise them like the last on 26th February 2019.
As it was disclosed one day after the resignation, this time what had made Zarif upset is when he found out Syrian President, Bashar Assad, had arrived in Tehran and right now is meeting with the supreme leader, in a meeting where Qassem Soleimani is sitting at the foreign minister seat instead of Zarif.

Screenshot 2019-02-28 at 21.50.35
The Photos above from the Assad meeting with the supreme leader; as it can be seen, the third person starting from the front is Qassem Soleimani instead of  Zarif. Additionally, it can be seen that even Rouhani is not present in this meeting (the president usually sits next to the quest).

Zarif thought this is a way, the system is trying to say to him that he has lost the supreme leader support, Zarif took this personally, and in return, declared his resignation on the same night.

Zarif resignation made lots of noise in Iran and the region probably more than the Principlists also knows as Hardliners imagined probably because of Zarif amazingly firing speech at the Munich security conference a few days back.

 

Screenshot 2019-02-28 at 21.49.58

Nonetheless, the following day, the resignation, faced a huge backlash. Iranian Twitter users made “Zarif stay” hashtag, Most MP made an official request of him not resigning but more importantly, Qassem Soleimani, personally, made a statement praising Zarif service and further explained, due to highly tight security reasons, very few people knew about this trip. It was revealed that not even president Rouhani knew about the meeting and that General Soleimani was personally in the plane with Bashar Assad. This claim does seem legitimate president Assad was travelling alone with no other Syrian government officials.

 

Screenshot 2019-02-28 at 21.49.49
The photos above show the most recent Instagram post affiliated to the General Qassem Soleimani, in which he hugging foreign minister Javad Zarif.

The following day, president Assad invited Zarif to Syria and praised his amazing work against the common enemy.



Copyright © ImanPoli 2019. All rights reserved.

Tensions Mount All-Time High As Iran And India Planning To Hit Terrorists in Pakistan

Babak Taghavi tweets Iran has deployed some F-14 to #bandarabbas airbase (located on the south-eastern region in Iran) for preparation in case of Pakistan response to Iran retaliation to the recent deadly terrorist attack in Iran that killed 27 IRGC border guards.

https://twitter.com/BabakTaghvaee/status/1097187194232623107
https://twitter.com/BabakTaghvaee/status/1097187194232623107

Babak Taghavi is saying Iran has deployed some F-14 to #bandarabbas airbase for preparation in case of Pakistan response to Iran retaliation to the recent deadly terrorist incident in #Iran!

This man is very ignorant!

 

https://twitter.com/BabakTaghvaee/status/1097192296842444800
https://twitter.com/BabakTaghvaee/status/1097192296842444800

This is a nasty way to report this sort of situation. Doesn’t he understand that even if Iran retaliates by launching precision-guided missiles toward those terrorist camp, it is certainly not going to be without notifying the Pakistani side!

Iran actually has a very good and to some aspect deep relationship with Pakistan that goes back to the start of the 1970 revolution.

However, Pakistani authorities have informed Iran about the real difficulties they have on repressing these Wahhabi-extremists as these entities have lots of influence in Pakistan power structure in the way that Pakistani military cannot take any serious action…

It is not satisfactory but the Iranian side gets this very well for a long time now!

Let’s just say, both countries knew months in advance that terrorists operating at Iran-eastern border are preparing to destabilise eastern and south-eastern regions of Iran.

The recent offensive-like military exercises in Iran eastern region is not unrelated to that information. Pakistani side has never rejected Iran’s concerns indeed the very opposite.   Iran’s Army launches drill Involving 12000 troops to practice ‘offensive’ tactics

 

Screenshot 2019-02-18 at 02.28.17

(IRGC holds major drills On Persian Gulf region, debuts ‘offensive’ component)

Let’s be sure if Iran takes any military action it would be in coordination with the Pakistani counterpart.

But Babak Taghavi tweets will only trigger people of Pakistan to feel they have to defend their nation against foreign aggression,

Screenshot 2019-02-18 at 02.16.24

A user from Pakistan reacted to Babak Taghavi tweet.

And this puts pressure on the Pakistani side to respond even if they don’t want to, which, really increases the likelihood of extreme escalation.

Babak is against the Iranian establishment but does this justify endangering his country because he hates the government?!

Why President Trump contradicts Chief of intelligence on Iran and North Korea?

Because CIA chief said Iran is not building or planning to build nukes, Trump never claimed otherwise, he only said Iranian have outsmarted our team etc. So If Trump had only pointed out to the reporter that there is no contradiction, Iran part was over, but instead, he got overly defensive too very quickly, and this way he attacked the CIA chief and acknowledged saying something that he never actually did! it’s crazy.

(Go back to school, Trump tells US spies)

But with respect to North Korea, I guess Trump meant the threat is not like how it was and that is true ( even though there was never any threat). but, I mean come on folks! Of course, North Korea is not going to entirely dismantle their nukes while the US shadowy intelligence services have put more sanctions on them. North Korea still has weapons because the US still has its sanctions on the country and since they have already built it all, there is no reason for them to back down now! It’s a tough spot for any diplomats to negotiate over this, especially when we have globalist-backed Bolton and Pompeo in the Whitehouse who have been openly defying president Trump when he introduces some policy in the morning and they say something else in a press confess on the same night!

Side Note>>> Links down R the answers of mine from last year on North Korea, in each answer, I said NK is not giving-up nukes.

Iman Mætm’s answer to Did the US succeed in their discussions with North Korea?

Iman Mætm’s answer to What is behind America cozying up to North Korea?

Iman Mætm’s answer to What is causing Kim Jong Un to suddenly give up on his plan to destroy America and want to meet with Trump and plan for denuclearization instead?

Is It All Because of Iran aggressiveness Or Our Arrogance?

Iran is not aggressive but being independent and free (in term of foreign policy making) is usually perceived by few who fear the rise of a competitor as being “aggressive”.

https://youtu.be/lm03YaqYxUA

(Mohammad Javad Zarif, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran, responded to US warnings to sink Iranian speedboats)

Every action that various countries have taken in western Asia obviously has produced some reactions by the states located in that region.

>> The absurd approach of forcing the creation of the state of Israel literally changed the fate entire of the region and world. The 1979 Islamic revolution in Iran was massively influenced by the conflict between Palestine and Israel. IN my opinion, if it wasn’t for the issue of Palestine, Khomeini wouldn’t have had enough determination and enthusiasm to become the leader of the revolution.

>> All the blood and controversies of the 1979 revolution in Iran rooted in the US, the British and the Soviets rootless policies since the WWI with respect to Iran.

On Missile

But these days Iran is accused of being aggressive only because it has resisted foreign countries attacks. it is quite remarkable to my eyes when the US and its allies call Iran aggressive for developing missile technology as the only means of its defence while at the same time selling hundreds of billions worth of state of the art missile to Iran neighbours! This doesn’t make sense anywhere in the globe. India made nukes because China got nukes, and Pakistan got nukes because India got nukes. This is how it works. Everywhere. For example, NATO violated the treaty and installed many Air Defence System batteries surrounding Russia (taking away their strike capability) and Russia in return made Supersonic cruise missile that can bypass those air defences easily. Therefore, if the US help Israel by money and resources to build whatever kind of weapons (F35, iron dome, Tanks Nuclear Bombs Uranium etc) that they need or sells hundreds of billion dollars military equipment to Saudi Arabia and other Persian Gulf states countries, then we all should expect the most influential country (arguably) in that region to get worried and feels the need to acquire some form of deterrence to avoid being inavded like in 1980 by US/Soviet/EU backed Saddam.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yweu-sOGQGw

(Javad Zarif gave the most precise and concise answer with regards to the missile)

Afghanistan and Iraq

When the US decided to occupy two of Iran neighbouring countries, Iran offers help to avoid what everyone had in mind (US war with Iran). The US accepted Iran help in toppling Taliban in Afghanistan and that is why the primary operation went very smooth but when it came to Iraq, Bush rejected Iran offer and instead called Iran axis of evil. In other words, Iran thought they might be next soon or later if the US forces remain in Iraq in mass. Many in the US main think-tank like Hudson institute hate Iran for helping Iraqi militias push the US occupying forces out of their country, which means the some in the US are angry on why you fought back when we popped all over your country and dropped some more uranium depleted bombs on your children as a memorial! This is really unbelievable the level of arrogance!

ISIS

They themselves replaced the Suni Saddam who was a CIA stooge, with a new system that happened to be run by the Shia prime minister after the elections! Then under the US supervision, ISIS is created and kept growing but they somehow dare to accuse Iran once again for that!

Why Iran somehow was in Iraq?!

As ISIS, advanced 30 km to Iranians border and the US simply rejected an emergency call for help from the Iraqi government on ISIS offensives to Baghdad and Erbil, Iran received two calls one from Kurdish authorities and one from Baghdad, demanding immediate support and Iran without saying anything further deployed heavy military equipment plus several hundred special forces in one night which repelled the ISIS offensives. Is it Iran being aggressive here?!

Syria

The only reason why Iran has some presence in Syria is due to the fact that the US and its allies created a Jihadist production factory in that country.

>> US/ allies made a systematic effort to find every psychopath, criminal and terrorists from all over the globe (Chechnya, southern Russia, eastern Asia, Saudi Arabia etc) and deployed them to Syria from the northern border with Turkey where Erdogan-ISIS dirty oil trade was going on and from southern Syria, through Jordan and also from the Israel occupying Golan Heights. Iran with so much suffering managed to keep them in line until Russia provided airpower to stop that cancer before it was too late! They did everyone a favour, especially the European!

Iran is not aggressive, in fact, Iran has been entirely pretty defensive but effective and firm on its moves (because it’s defensive simply wanting to survive) whereas other parties just made reckless policies as if its a game, because it is a game for them when you’re defending your existence, your entire being, you’re more likely to be effective and determined, whereas imperial kind of policies are superfluous and lack determination.

Ebrahim Raisi As The Future Supreme Leader Of Iran

There are three possible candidates, Ebrahim Raisi (kind of close to IRGC and the House of leadership, Hassan Rouhani (affiliated with Hashemi’s family and reformist party) and Sadegh Larijani (the head of the Larijani’s family).

Ebrahim Raisi

(The image shows Ebrahim Raisi, the head of Astan Quds Razavi and a member of Assembly of Experts)

Ebrahim Raisi seems to be the candidate of choice ( presidency and leadership) for both IRGC and The House of leadership. In 2017 presidential election in Iran he lost to Rouhani but managed to get more than 900k votes in Tehran (!) and more than 15 million votes in total, which is not bad at all considering Iran had no president that runs only one term.

Here is why I think Raisi is the one even though he has not been involved in any significant political position, like Khamenei….

(The Image Above shows Ebrahim Raisi in Lebanese border with Israel)

One event made many really convinced, that Ebrahim Raisi would be the future supreme leader and that event is when Ebrahim Raisi visited Syria and Lebanon (at the end of January 2018) and met with many very high ranking Hezbollah commanders and religious figures (Sunni and Shia) near the Israeli -Lebonan border… in the politics of Shia Islam, this is called Oath of allegiance or [بیعت] in Farsi. He was sent there (probably by the supreme leader request) to ensure Iranian allies that he will be the real commander in chief in the future in Iran so to avoid any confusion.

(The image above is Ebrahim Raisi either in Lebonan or Syria but most likely Lebonan)

I think this event alone, proves that Ebrahim Raisi, in fact, will be the future leader in Iran. There might be a joined- attempts by others to grab this position but it is very unlikely that they can handle IRGC in any sustainable approach.

2) Hassan Rouhani

(The image above shows president Hassan Rouhani)

What they (IRGC + Leadership) are now having in mind is how to prevent the political party that is connected to Hashemi family to have any say in the future, because, this party has time and time again sent signals that pointed their rejection to some of the main ideas of the 1979 revolution ( Hashemi family means the entire of Rouhanis’s cabinet, all the reformists and some portion of the ministry of intelligence). This party and candidate has some advantages to all the other candidates and that is his popularity amongst the younger generation.

3) Sadegh Larijani

(The image above shows Sadegh Larijani)

Both IRGC and house of leadership but more IRGC don’t trust the Larijani’s family, who are in charge of parliament, the head of the judiciary, Chairman of Expediency Discernment Council and a member of the assembly of experts. But he (Sadegh Larijani) is a tough one to cross-over since he has all the requirements on paper to become the supreme leader. However, he is extremely unpopular amongst the people and IRGC in particular!

I’m kinda sure they don’t allow Larijani or Rouhani to become the future supreme leader because the pro-Islamic revolutionaries (by that I mean the ordinary people who strongly support the current supreme leader) will not be loyal to either of them. larijani is deeply hated by Ahmadinejad followers (who are also loyal to the supreme leader) and Rouhani is known as in the most critical terms you could find amongst the pro-revolutionaries.

I think Raisi’s last year visit to Syria and Lebonan proves that he, in fact, will be the future leader in Iran. There might be a joined- attempts by others to grab this position but it is very unlikely that they can handle IRGC in any sustainable way.


*Please have in mind, these are all just opinions and interpretations based on my grasp of news and events, certainly, I do not claim to know the absolute truth. These may very well be all untrue and inaccurate!*